The United States can reduce its oil production, which could lead to an annual decrease in production in 2026
The report indicated that slowing the global oil demand, extreme uncertainty about the future of US trade and a surplus of supply next commit the growth of US oil production.
The report, S&P Global Commodity Insights Global Crude Oil Markets in the short term, found that the demand for global oil (total liquids) grew to an average of 750,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2025, a downward review.
“Although the magnitude of a possible recession of economic demand and oil is as uncertain as the future course of US tariff Gravity, “gravity, gravity, gravity, gravity, gravity, gravity,” gravity, severity, severity, severity, severity, severity, severity, “gravity,”, “,” gravity, “gravity”, gravity “, the level of level level level level level. Global Chief of Crude Petroleum Research, S&P Global Commodity Insights.
The new demand perspective informs a significant change in the impulse after a strong growth in oil demand in the first quarter of the year in which the demand grew in an estimate of 1.75 million B/D year after year. On the contrary, the growth of demand for the quarter of the year is now expected to average 420,000 b/d, the report added.
The report added that total production by 2025 in the USA.
“The growth of American oil production has been a dominant characteristic in the oil market since 2022. A decrease driven by the price in US production would be a pivot point for the oil market, and establishes conditions for a possible price recovery. But much will depend on the severity of an economic deceleration and the impact on demand growth beyond 2025,” Burkhard added.
Ian Stewart, associate director, S&P Global Commodity Insights said vertiginating changes to US tariffs, both real and proposed, are affecting the feeling of the market.
“Our current perspective assumes that it will finally be a movement away from commercial barriers to China, as well as the signs of progress in the US commercial conversations with Europe, Japan and other important commercial partners. That the risk of complement or dressmoes is probably fragile,” Stewart added.
Posted on May 14, 2025
